Archive for Wilmer Flores

Adam Rubin took some pictures of the Mets’ top prospects with some interesting things about some of the prospects’ bodies that caught my eye.

Wilmer Flores looks a lot more bulky here than in previous seasons.  Part of it is natural maturation and the bloated look of his stomach could be some camera trick, but it’s a little concerning in other places.  His face looks a little more rounded off and less defined and his pants look extremely tight on his bulging thighs.  Flores is already a slower player to begin with so keeping is weight in check will be crucial to his career.  Would like to see another picture of him before a red flag gets set off.

This one struck my fancy a little bit better.  Last time I saw Josh Satin the only word I could use to describe him was frail.  He looks bigger here in a good way and it is great to see that Reese Havens has kept in fantastic shape despite all the injuries and surgery.

All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.

QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:

Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.

Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.

Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels


1. Jenrry Mejia | SP | AAA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (B+)

Mejia’s potential was obvious with his numbers in the minors as he was absolutely dominant in his 7 starts.  This was just another case where Omar and Jerry screwed up by rushing a player to quick to the majors.  Flashes of his plus stuff could be seen out of the bullpen, but he was extremely inconsistent which is expected from a player so young.  He will benefit greatly from more time in the minors as Terry Collins has suggested he will get.

Best Case Outcome – Top of the rotation starter
More Likely Outcome – Good #3/Closer


2. Wilmer Flores | SS | HiA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B+)

Flores has been nothing but spectacular since joining the Mets system.  He has hit at every level the Mets have placed him at and done so with great plate discipline for a young player.  About the only thing you could complain about at this point is his defense.  His power seems to be developing as expected, but I would like to see some more homers this year.

Best Case Outcome – Run producing cleanup hitter
More Likely Outcome – Above average #5/6 hitter

3. Matt Harvey | SP | College | Age – 21 | Drafted – 1st Round 2010 (B)

Harvey has some big time power stuff on the mound with the workhouse body to boot.  If his command can hold up he has the potential to be a big impact starter on the mound.  That is a big “if”.  His power sinker in Citi Field could be a great combination.

Best Case Outcome – #2 starter
Most Likely Outcome – Innings eating #3/4 starter

*No stats*

4. Aderlin Rodriguez | 3B | LoA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2008 (B)

Rodriguez slugged his way all the way up this list in 2010. He made the Appy League pitching look silly hitting 13 home runs and 22 doubles for a .556 SLG%. It appears like the slow approach the Mets have decided to take with Rodriguez is paying off. About time they learned their lesson.

Best Case Outcome – All-Star slugging 3rd baseman
Most Likely Outcome – Above average power hitting 3rd baseman

5. Reese Havens | 2B | AA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B)

This is a bit of an aggressive ranking for Havens, but I have no doubt in my mind had it not been for the injuries he would be ranked at the top of this list.  During his time on the field his stats are just insane.  Those numbers from a 2nd baseman are hard to come by.

Best Case Outcome – All-Star second baseman
Most Likely Outcome – League average second baseman

6. Fernando Martinez | OF | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – IFA 2005 (B-)

I am still a fan of Martinez although the continuing injuries and arthritis in his knee is a bit worrisome.  He still has some potential, but in my opinion is never going to live up to the “Teenage Hitting Machine” nickname.  If there was ever a time for him to have a big season it is now with Carlos Beltran’s contract ending this season and a spot opening up in the outfield.

Best Case Outcome – Above-average outfielder
Most Likely Outcome – League average outfielder

7. Cory Vaughn | OF | SSA | Age – 21 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2010 (B-)

Although he slowed down as the season went on Vaughn had a huge debut for the Cyclones. He displayed better plate discipline than reported before the draft. His splits are pretty stark, but he isn’t awful against right hand pitching so I am not too worried about that yet.

Best Case Outcome – Very good all-around outfielder
Most Likely Outcome – Average outfielder with good defense

8. Cesar Puello | OF | SSA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B-)

The young Puello began to put together his tremendous tools last season in Savannah.  Given free reign on the base paths Puello showed his exceptional speed swiping 45 bags.  The power was down from last year, but the improved discipline and speed made up for it.  Still has a lot of room to breakout this year.

Best Case Outcome – Run creating speedster with great defense
Most Likely Outcome - Below average hitter with great defensive value

9. Jeurys Familia | SP | HiA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)

I am overlooking his ERA somewhat because although it was ugly he had a much better FIP (3.89) and had great strikeout and ground ball numbers. Familia’s key to success will be controlling his 100 mph heat because walks were his killer all season. An inflated BABIP and questionably low LOB% keep me optimistic about his future.

Best Case Outcome – #2/3 starter/closer
Most Likely Outcome - #4/5 starter or middle reliever

10. Kirk Nieuwenhuis | OF | AAA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2008 (C+)

I was not a big fan when I first saw him, but Nieuwenhuis has slowly turned me into a believer. He has solid speed and power, but no outstanding tools. His defense is average and his key will always be if he can begin to handle the high and inside fastball.

Best Case Outcome – Average outfielder with some real good seasons (Aaron Rowand)
Most Likely Outcome - Bench or platoon outfielder

Mark Cohoon, who has dominated the SAL and whom I talked about before, has been promoted.  Instead of going to HiA St. Lucie the Mets decided to promote him straight to Double-A Binghamton.  I think this is a good call by the Mets.  He is an older, smarter pitcher who probably would have dominated the Florida State League just as he dominated the South Atlantic League so why not give him the biggest challenge for a minor leaguer which is the move to AA.

There was a plethora of other moves made to go along with this  including top prospect Wilmer Flores getting the bump from LoA Savannah to HiA St. Lucie.  There were 6 other Sand Gnats who became St. Lucie Mets today; Juan Lagares, Brandon Moore, Rafael Fernandez, Kai Gronauer, Erik Turgeron, and Michael Fisher.

To make room for all these players a lot of players had to be shifted around:

  • Wilfredo Tovar was transferred from the St. Lucie roster to the Savannah roster.
  • Brandon Sage was activated and placed in Savannah roster.
  • Juan Torres was transferred from the St. Lucie roster to the Savannah roster.
  • R.J. Harris was transferred from the Brooklyn roster to the Savannah roster.
  • Ryan Mollica was transferred from the St. Lucie roster to the Savannah roster.
  • Gabriel Zavalawas added to the Savannah roster.
  • Travis Ozga was transferred from the Kingsport roster to the Savannah roster.
  • Marcos Tabata was transferred from the St. Lucie roster to the Savannah roster.

5 Up

No. 1 WILMER FLORES, SS
SAVANNAH
Team: Savannah Sand Gnats (LoA)
Age: 18
Why He’s Here: .370/.393/.815 (10-for-27), 2 HR, 5 R, 13 RBI, 1 BB, 5 K
The Scoop: Flores is in the middle of a huge power surge that we never got to see in 2009.  Last year he hit 3 home runs for the year and he had 2 last week.  He’s had great pitch recognition all season and it looks like he is finally seeing the right pitch to hit and driving it hard and far.  More impressive than his home runs is probably the 6 doubles and 13 RBI’s.
2010 Stats
No. 2 KIRK NIEUWENHUIS, CF
BINGHAMTON
Team: Binghamton Mets (AA) Age: 22
Why He’s Here: 355/.375/.613 (11-for-31), 1 HR, 6 R, 5 RBI, 1 BB, 6 K
The Scoop: Captain Kirk has been hot all season and it didn’t stop this week.  He’s getting hits, hitting for power, scoring runs, and driving in runs.  The only thing he isn’t doing is demonstrating his above-average speed.  He only has 1 SB on the season and no triples. On the plus side he has cut his K’s down by nearly 7%.
2010 Stats
No. 3 PEDRO ZAPATA, CF
SAVANNAH
Team: Savannah Sand Gnats (LoA)
Age: 22
Why He’s Here:
.414/.485/.483 (12-for-29), 2 2B, 9 R, 4 RBI, 3 SB, 4 BB, 5 K
The Scoop: Zapata is a tall guy, but doesn’t have much power and has to rely on his plus speed.  The difference he made this week was better plate discipline.  He only struck out 1 more time than he walked.  Looked like a great table setter with the 3 steals and 9 runs.
2010 Stats
No. 4 JAMES FULLER, LHP SAVANNAH
Team: Savannah Sand Gnats (LoA)
Age: 22
Why He’s Here: 2-0, 1.90 ERA, 14.2 IP, 14 H, 3 R, 3 ER, 2 BB, 12 SO
The Scoop: The undersized lefty is having great success in LoA Savannah.  He gave up a little too many hits this week, but he counter acted that with superb command.  He only walked 2 batters this week and has 4 walks in 28 IP on the season to go along with striking out nearly a batter per inning.
2010 Stats
No. 5 ALONZO HARRIS, 2B
SAVANNAH
Team: Savannah Sand Gants (LoA)
Age: 20
Why He’s Here:
.360/.360/.600 (9-for-25), 1 2B, 1 3b, 1 HR. 4 R, 7 RBI, 5 K
The Scoop: Yet another member from the Savannah team on the hot list.  Harris demonstrated his great power with a homer and double and great speed with a triple and stolen base.  Also on display, however, was his terrible discipline.  He doesn’t know how to take a walk and swings at anything near the plate. Still raw, but very talented.
2010 Stats

5 Down

No. 1 RICHARD LUCAS, 3B
ST. LUCIE
Team: St. Lucie Mets (HiA)
Age: 21
Why He’s Here: .053/.182/.053 (1-for-19), 1 R, 3 BB, 6 K
The Scoop: Can you do much worse?  About the only positive thing he did was have a decent walk rate.  This is a really big bummer as Lucas was off to a hot start before getting into this ice age.
2010 Stats
No. 2 EDDIE KUNZ, RHP
BINGHAMTON
Team: Binghamton Mets (AA)
Age: 24
Why He’s Here:
0-1, 11.25 ERA, 4 IP, 7 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 4 BB, 3 SO
The Scoop: Just as expected Kunz’s shift into the rotation hasn’t gone smoothly at all.  If anyone expects to give up a hit and walk per inning and be successful then you are just crazy.  He should be moved back to the pen ASAP where maybe he can give you a very very little something.
2010 Stats
No. 3 JEFF FLAGG, 1B
SAVANNAH
Team: Savannah Sand Gnats (LoA)
Age: 24

Why He’s Here: .136/.240/.182 (3-for-22), 1 R, 2 RBI, 3 BB, 8 K
The Scoop: A 6’6 250 lbs 24-year-old slugging what in LoA? Yeah, he has definitely made himself into a non prospect at this point.  He can’t hit for average or power, get on base, and swings at pitchers further out of the zone than Vlad Guerrero.
2010 Stats
No. 4 ERIC NIESEN, SP
BINGHAMTON
Team: Binghamton Mets (AA)
Age: 24
Why He’s Here:
0-1, 5.29 ERA, 2 GS, 5.1 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 3 ER, 5 BB, 6 SO
The Scoop: The man has great stuff as is seen with his great K numbers, but his control seems to get worse with time.  I don’t think anybody has ever questioned his stuff, but he has yet to answer those doubters about his ability to throw strikes. And 5 innings in 2 games. That’s worse than John Maine!
2010 Stats
No. 5 BRAHIAM MALDONADO
BINGHAMTON
Team: Binghamton Mets (AA)
Age: 24
Why He’s Here:
.105/.261/.158 (2-for-19), 2 R, 4 BB, 5 K, 2 SB
The Scoop: The transition to AA did not go smooth at all for Maldonado.  He was only able to manage two hits, but he did demonstrate good patience and speed.  He is not one of my favorite prospects by any stretch, but he still has some potential and this week looks pretty fluky.
2010 Stats

Awards

Pitcher of the Week: James Fuller

Player of the Week: Wilmer Flores

For an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page.  I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.


1. Fernando Martinez | CF | AA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2005 (B+)

Still the Mets number 1 for me. He is just 21 and put up a great line of .290/.337/.540 in AAA before being called up. If a college draft pick went to AAA and put up that line he would probably be a top 10 prospect and Martinez gets over looked.  He was rushed to the bigs, but watch for him in 2010 if he can have a healthy season.

Best Case Outcome – Middle of the order bat with good defense

More Likely Outcome – Solid everyday player with 1-2 all-star appearances

TEAMABR2BHRRBIAVGOBPSLGBABIPISO
Buffalo Bisons1762416828.290.337.540.319.250
New York Mets9111618.176.242.275.197.099
TOTAL2673522936.251.304.449.274.199

2. Jenrry Mejia | SP | AA | Age – 20 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (B+)

The prize arm in the Mets system Mejia has a great fastball to go along with an average an average change-up and developing curve.  Nice all around numbers on the season.

Best Case Outcome – Ace starter/All-Star Closer

More Likely Outcome – Good #3/Set-up man

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
St. Lucie Mets4-11.979/950.1441668%2.52
Binghamton Mets0-54.4710/1044.1482359%3.49
TOTAL4-63.1419/1994.2913964%2.95

3. Ike Davis | 1B | AA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B+)

Ike has all the physical tools and showed them off in 2009 with a .298 average and 20 home runs in A+ and AA.  The best part of his season was that he didn’t slow down after the promotion he improved. An aggressive ranking, but I believe in his bat.

Best Case Outcome – Slugging first baseman with great defense

More Likely Outcome – League Average first baseman with great defense.

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
St. Lucie Mets2222817728.288.376.486.348.198
Binghamton Mets20730141343.309.386.565.381.256
TOTAL42958312071.298.381.524.365.226

4. Jon Niese | SP | MLB | Age – 23 | Drafted – 7th Round 2005 (B)

Gets over looked a lot because of lack of elite velocity (89.4 avg velo), but his outstanding curve and cutter that is already becoming a plus pitch will set him up for great success.

Best Case Outcome – #2 starter in the mold of Andy Pettitte.

More Likely Outcome – Good #4 starter.

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
St. Lucie Mets2222817728.288.376.486.348.198
Binghamton Mets20730141343.309.386.565.381.256
TOTAL42958312071.298.381.524.365.226

5. Wilmer Flores | SS | LoA | Age – 18 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B)

This season was a little bit of a disappointment from Flores, especially in the power department, but being such a young age in LoA he gets some slack.

Best Case Outcome – Top-3 offensive left fielder

More Likely Outcome – Top-15 offensive left fielder

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Buffalo Bisons5-63.8216/1694.1822656%3.38
New York Mets1-14.215/525.218946%3.21
TOTAL6-73.9021/21120.01003551%3.28

6. Brad Holt | SP | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B-)

Most people are worried about the showing Holt put up in AA. He was dealing with some injuries, dominated A+, and his K rate was still pretty solid, but it was his control that hurt him.  The control would also correlate with him being injured.

Best Case Outcome – #2 starter

More Likely Outcome – #4 starter/set-up man

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
St. Lucie Mets4-13.129/943.1541337%3.15
Binghamton Mets3-66.2111/1158.0452337%4.96
TOTAL7-74.9019/19101.1993937%4.20

7. Reese Havens | 2B | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B-)

He was pretty unlucky last year with a .272 BABIP I fully expect his average to go up.  Doesn’t strike out too much, gets a good amount of walks, has enough speed to up the steals, and provides good power.  He also provides those intangibles you look for in all good ballplayers.  Will be interesting to see how he adjusts to 2nd base.

Best Case Outcome – Above-average second baseman who gets 1 or 2 all-star appearances on career years.

More Likely Outcome – Solid MLB starter.

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLGBABIPISO
St. Lucie Mets36053191452.247.361.422.272.175
TOTAL36053191452.247.361.422.272.175

8. Kyle Allen | SP | LoA | Age – 20 | Drafted – 24th Round 2008 (B-)

After a great rookie performance I had him pegged as a personal favorite/sleeper and boy he didn’t disappoint.  He has a great Fastball/Change-up combination and if he can develop a 3rd plus pitch he can become great.

Best Case Outcome – #3 starter

More Likely Outcome – #4 starter

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Savannah Sand Gnats9-63.4525/19125.11115159%3.74
TOTAL9-63.4525/19125.11115159%3.74

9. Josh Thole | C | MLB | Age – 23 | Drafted – 13th Round 2005 (C+)

He has to be cut some slack for his defense.  He has turned into a decent fielder for the amount of time he has been behind the plate and seems to make improvements each year. He will never hit for power, but as a catcher with his average and walks he should be fine.

Best Case Outcome – slight above-average MLB catcher

More Likely Outcome – average MLB catcher

TEAMABR2BHRRBIAVGOBPSLGBABIPISO
Binghamton Mets3844829146.328.395.422.349.094
New York Mets532209.321.356.396.340.075
TOTAL4375031155.327.394.419.348.092

10. Kirk Nieuwenhuis | CF | AA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2008 (C+)

Simply had a great 2009.  He is a big kid and the power he has been showing is for real. Has enough speed to stick at center, but his arm is a little weak and that is the only thing I could see moving him to a corner spot.  So far the jump to AA went amazing and it will be nice to see if he can continue it.  Needs to cut down on K’s.

Best Case Outcome – Above-average center fielder in the mold of Aaron Rowand.

More Likely Outcome – Solid MLB center fielder.

TEAMABR2BHRRBIAVGOBPSLGBABIPISO
St. Lucie Mets48291351671.276.358.469.336.193
Binghamton Mets328312.406.472.656.545.250
TOTAL5149938173.284.366.481.348.196

Wilmer Flores | SS | B – R | LoA | Age – 17 | Drafted – IFA 2007

Player Grades
Contact – 50 Now | 60 Future
Power – 40 | 60/65
Discipline – 40 | 55
Speed – 40 | 40
Defense – 40 | 50
Arm – 55 | 55
Instincts – 45 | 55
ETA – 2012
Final Grade – B+

Body Type – At 6’3 175 lbs. he is extremely tall and lanky. His body is still going to physically mature, but he alreayd has a strong longer half and will look to fill out the upper portion of his body.

Scouting Report – As Flores demonstrated as a 17-year-old baby in rookie ball last year belting 7 homeruns the dude has serious raw power. This is thanks to a beautiful swing you can see below.

travis-snider

*Credit to By Grand Design

As you can see from the picture Flores generates most of his power from extremely quick bat speed rather than brute strength. When his body fills out even more, the combination of the strength and bat speed will be absolutely terrifying and gives hope and understanding as to why he receives Miggy comps. He does not have much of a leg kick at all, but he is still able to rotate his hips on time. He has a slight uppercut in his swing that produce flyouts right now, but that will be homeruns when he gets older. Quite advanced at the plate for his age as he does an okay job with pitch selection and recognition, but it is something he will need to work on and that will undoubtedly get better with age and experience.

Defense – Not great defensively and will have to move off short so don’t expect the next ‘Derek Jeter’ like the papers said, but a move to 3rd base or left field would put him as at least a league average defender.

Best Case Outcome – Top-3 offensive left fielder

More Likely Outcome – Top-10 offensive left fielder

Jun
29

Two Mets Make Futures Game

Posted by: | Comments (0)

Baseball America has announced their annual  Future Game rosters and two of the Mets teen sensations have made the game.  On the World roster from Valencia, Venezuela Wilmer Flores.  Flores I believe is the youngest player in the game.  Then hailing from Azua, Dominican Republic ‘the Prodigy’ Jenrry Mejia.  It should be exciting to see how these young studs do against the rest of minor leagues best.  If you remember last year Fernando Martinez got a single off Trevor Cahill in his one at at-bat.  To see the rest of the roster you can click here.

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