Archive for Reese Havens
Previous First Round Reactions
Posted by: | CommentsA fanpost over at Minor League Ball about one fan’s reactions to the past Red Sox draft got me thinking about how I have felt about the Mets picks over the years and how good my feelings about them have been.
2007
Eddie Kunz – Thought this pick was just dumb. I hate drafting relievers in the first round unless they are supposed to be the next Mariano.
Not only was Kunz not the next Mo, he just sucks. If Allan Dykstra becomes anything at all it will ease the pain.Nathan Vineyard – Big, projectable left-hander who could already hit the low 90’s. There were not going to be any complaints from me.
Had some good K number and showed some potential, but retired at 19 so we will never know if I was right or not about him.
2008
Ike Davis – I wasn’t a huge supporter of this pick. I was still holding out hope Freddie Coupons would open up the wallet for once and pick Gerrit Cole.
I was dead wrong about this one.Reese Havens – I LOVED this pick. It was my favorite of the draft for the Mets.
He hasn’t stayed healthy, but when he has played he has been amazing. I don’t doubt he would be the Mets starting second baseman if it wasn’t for the injuries.Brad Holt – Thought this was a HUGE overdraft. Had a good fastball, but nothing else.
Early on he made me look stupid, but lately I’m thinking I was right for not liking it.

Brett Wallace and Ike Davis
2009
Steven Matz – I liked this pick a lot. Anytime you can grab the local kid, especially with how rare they are in NY I am all for it.
Too early to make a judgment because of the injury.
2010
Matt Harvey – Wanted Chris Sale or Yasmani Grandal so I wasn’t thrilled with the pick, but I thought it was okay and was pretty happy because of his upside.
You won’t hear my complaining about the pick at all now even though I still like those two a lot.
While almost all of these could still get an “incomplete” grade I think my record right now would be 4-1-2. The three right being Harvey, Havens (Assuming he gets healthy liking this pick will be good), Holt’s command looks like it is too big of an issue for him to make and impact, and Kunz sucks. Ike Davis was clearly a big miss by me. Just never saw this potential in his bat. No one could have seen Vineyard retiring like that and Matz hasn’t pitched so he gets an incomplete.
I am pretty happy with my initial gut feelings of the draft picks so far as long as Havens comes back healthy.
A couple of Interesting Pictures of Prospects
Posted by: | CommentsAdam Rubin took some pictures of the Mets’ top prospects with some interesting things about some of the prospects’ bodies that caught my eye.

Wilmer Flores looks a lot more bulky here than in previous seasons. Part of it is natural maturation and the bloated look of his stomach could be some camera trick, but it’s a little concerning in other places. His face looks a little more rounded off and less defined and his pants look extremely tight on his bulging thighs. Flores is already a slower player to begin with so keeping is weight in check will be crucial to his career. Would like to see another picture of him before a red flag gets set off.
This one struck my fancy a little bit better. Last time I saw Josh Satin the only word I could use to describe him was frail. He looks bigger here in a good way and it is great to see that Reese Havens has kept in fantastic shape despite all the injuries and surgery.
2011 Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 1-10
Posted by: | CommentsAll grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.
QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:
Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.
Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.
Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels
1. Jenrry Mejia | SP | AAA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (B+)
Mejia’s potential was obvious with his numbers in the minors as he was absolutely dominant in his 7 starts. This was just another case where Omar and Jerry screwed up by rushing a player to quick to the majors. Flashes of his plus stuff could be seen out of the bullpen, but he was extremely inconsistent which is expected from a player so young. He will benefit greatly from more time in the minors as Terry Collins has suggested he will get.
Best Case Outcome – Top of the rotation starter
More Likely Outcome – Good #3/Closer

2. Wilmer Flores | SS | HiA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B+)
Flores has been nothing but spectacular since joining the Mets system. He has hit at every level the Mets have placed him at and done so with great plate discipline for a young player. About the only thing you could complain about at this point is his defense. His power seems to be developing as expected, but I would like to see some more homers this year.
Best Case Outcome – Run producing cleanup hitter
More Likely Outcome – Above average #5/6 hitter

3. Matt Harvey | SP | College | Age – 21 | Drafted – 1st Round 2010 (B)
Harvey has some big time power stuff on the mound with the workhouse body to boot. If his command can hold up he has the potential to be a big impact starter on the mound. That is a big “if”. His power sinker in Citi Field could be a great combination.
Best Case Outcome – #2 starter
Most Likely Outcome – Innings eating #3/4 starter
*No stats*
4. Aderlin Rodriguez | 3B | LoA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2008 (B)
Rodriguez slugged his way all the way up this list in 2010. He made the Appy League pitching look silly hitting 13 home runs and 22 doubles for a .556 SLG%. It appears like the slow approach the Mets have decided to take with Rodriguez is paying off. About time they learned their lesson.
Best Case Outcome – All-Star slugging 3rd baseman
Most Likely Outcome – Above average power hitting 3rd baseman

5. Reese Havens | 2B | AA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B)
This is a bit of an aggressive ranking for Havens, but I have no doubt in my mind had it not been for the injuries he would be ranked at the top of this list. During his time on the field his stats are just insane. Those numbers from a 2nd baseman are hard to come by.
Best Case Outcome – All-Star second baseman
Most Likely Outcome – League average second baseman

6. Fernando Martinez | OF | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – IFA 2005 (B-)
I am still a fan of Martinez although the continuing injuries and arthritis in his knee is a bit worrisome. He still has some potential, but in my opinion is never going to live up to the “Teenage Hitting Machine” nickname. If there was ever a time for him to have a big season it is now with Carlos Beltran’s contract ending this season and a spot opening up in the outfield.
Best Case Outcome – Above-average outfielder
Most Likely Outcome – League average outfielder

7. Cory Vaughn | OF | SSA | Age – 21 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2010 (B-)
Although he slowed down as the season went on Vaughn had a huge debut for the Cyclones. He displayed better plate discipline than reported before the draft. His splits are pretty stark, but he isn’t awful against right hand pitching so I am not too worried about that yet.
Best Case Outcome – Very good all-around outfielder
Most Likely Outcome – Average outfielder with good defense

8. Cesar Puello | OF | SSA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B-)
The young Puello began to put together his tremendous tools last season in Savannah. Given free reign on the base paths Puello showed his exceptional speed swiping 45 bags. The power was down from last year, but the improved discipline and speed made up for it. Still has a lot of room to breakout this year.
Best Case Outcome – Run creating speedster with great defense
Most Likely Outcome - Below average hitter with great defensive value

9. Jeurys Familia | SP | HiA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)
I am overlooking his ERA somewhat because although it was ugly he had a much better FIP (3.89) and had great strikeout and ground ball numbers. Familia’s key to success will be controlling his 100 mph heat because walks were his killer all season. An inflated BABIP and questionably low LOB% keep me optimistic about his future.
Best Case Outcome – #2/3 starter/closer
Most Likely Outcome - #4/5 starter or middle reliever

10. Kirk Nieuwenhuis | OF | AAA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2008 (C+)
I was not a big fan when I first saw him, but Nieuwenhuis has slowly turned me into a believer. He has solid speed and power, but no outstanding tools. His defense is average and his key will always be if he can begin to handle the high and inside fastball.
Best Case Outcome – Average outfielder with some real good seasons (Aaron Rowand)
Most Likely Outcome - Bench or platoon outfielder

Satin, Ratliff Promoted, Nieuwenhuis Hurt
Posted by: | CommentsAdam Rubin released his weekly Farm report today and it is pack filled with news. Here are some of the key notes to take from hit
- OF Sean Ratliff and 2B and 6th round pick (not 25th round pick no clue where Rubin got that from) Josh Satin, who both recently
returned from the FSL All-Star Game, have been promoted to Double-A Binghamton. This could mean that Reese Havens injury is more serious then just being day-to-day because the Mets wouldn’t put their two best 2nd base prospects on the same team competing for playing time. - The Buffalo Bisons and Binghamton Mets swapped players with OF/1B Lucas Duda, UTIL Jon Malo, and RP Roy Merritt have been promoted to Triple-A while 1B Marshall Hubbard went down to AA.
- Top prospect Kirk Nieuwenhuis strained his shoulder making a diving catch.
- Triple-A slugger Mike Hessman is on the DL with an injury to his right hand.
- OF Carlos Guzman is on the DL with a torn meniscus
- Manny Garcia is now manning the outfield for HiA St. Lucie now.
To read the rest of Rubin’s report click here.
Mets Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 1-10
Posted by: | CommentsFor an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page. I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.
1. Fernando Martinez | CF | AA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2005 (B+)
Still the Mets number 1 for me. He is just 21 and put up a great line of .290/.337/.540 in AAA before being called up. If a college draft pick went to AAA and put up that line he would probably be a top 10 prospect and Martinez gets over looked. He was rushed to the bigs, but watch for him in 2010 if he can have a healthy season.
Best Case Outcome – Middle of the order bat with good defense
More Likely Outcome – Solid everyday player with 1-2 all-star appearances
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bisons | 176 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 28 | .290 | .337 | .540 | .319 | .250 |
| New York Mets | 91 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 8 | .176 | .242 | .275 | .197 | .099 |
| TOTAL | 267 | 35 | 22 | 9 | 36 | .251 | .304 | .449 | .274 | .199 |
2. Jenrry Mejia | SP | AA | Age – 20 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (B+)
The prize arm in the Mets system Mejia has a great fastball to go along with an average an average change-up and developing curve. Nice all around numbers on the season.
Best Case Outcome – Ace starter/All-Star Closer
More Likely Outcome – Good #3/Set-up man
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 4-1 | 1.97 | 9/9 | 50.1 | 44 | 16 | 68% | 2.52 |
| Binghamton Mets | 0-5 | 4.47 | 10/10 | 44.1 | 48 | 23 | 59% | 3.49 |
| TOTAL | 4-6 | 3.14 | 19/19 | 94.2 | 91 | 39 | 64% | 2.95 |
3. Ike Davis | 1B | AA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B+)
Ike has all the physical tools and showed them off in 2009 with a .298 average and 20 home runs in A+ and AA. The best part of his season was that he didn’t slow down after the promotion he improved. An aggressive ranking, but I believe in his bat.
Best Case Outcome – Slugging first baseman with great defense
More Likely Outcome – League Average first baseman with great defense.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | .BABIP | .ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 222 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 28 | .288 | .376 | .486 | .348 | .198 |
| Binghamton Mets | 207 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 43 | .309 | .386 | .565 | .381 | .256 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 58 | 31 | 20 | 71 | .298 | .381 | .524 | .365 | .226 |
4. Jon Niese | SP | MLB | Age – 23 | Drafted – 7th Round 2005 (B)
Gets over looked a lot because of lack of elite velocity (89.4 avg velo), but his outstanding curve and cutter that is already becoming a plus pitch will set him up for great success.
Best Case Outcome – #2 starter in the mold of Andy Pettitte.
More Likely Outcome – Good #4 starter.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | .BABIP | .ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 222 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 28 | .288 | .376 | .486 | .348 | .198 |
| Binghamton Mets | 207 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 43 | .309 | .386 | .565 | .381 | .256 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 58 | 31 | 20 | 71 | .298 | .381 | .524 | .365 | .226 |
5. Wilmer Flores | SS | LoA | Age – 18 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B)
This season was a little bit of a disappointment from Flores, especially in the power department, but being such a young age in LoA he gets some slack.
Best Case Outcome – Top-3 offensive left fielder
More Likely Outcome – Top-15 offensive left fielder
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bisons | 5-6 | 3.82 | 16/16 | 94.1 | 82 | 26 | 56% | 3.38 |
| New York Mets | 1-1 | 4.21 | 5/5 | 25.2 | 18 | 9 | 46% | 3.21 |
| TOTAL | 6-7 | 3.90 | 21/21 | 120.0 | 100 | 35 | 51% | 3.28 |
6. Brad Holt | SP | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B-)
Most people are worried about the showing Holt put up in AA. He was dealing with some injuries, dominated A+, and his K rate was still pretty solid, but it was his control that hurt him. The control would also correlate with him being injured.
Best Case Outcome – #2 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter/set-up man
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 4-1 | 3.12 | 9/9 | 43.1 | 54 | 13 | 37% | 3.15 |
| Binghamton Mets | 3-6 | 6.21 | 11/11 | 58.0 | 45 | 23 | 37% | 4.96 |
| TOTAL | 7-7 | 4.90 | 19/19 | 101.1 | 99 | 39 | 37% | 4.20 |
7. Reese Havens | 2B | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B-)
He was pretty unlucky last year with a .272 BABIP I fully expect his average to go up. Doesn’t strike out too much, gets a good amount of walks, has enough speed to up the steals, and provides good power. He also provides those intangibles you look for in all good ballplayers. Will be interesting to see how he adjusts to 2nd base.
Best Case Outcome – Above-average second baseman who gets 1 or 2 all-star appearances on career years.
More Likely Outcome – Solid MLB starter.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 360 | 53 | 19 | 14 | 52 | .247 | .361 | .422 | .272 | .175 |
| TOTAL | 360 | 53 | 19 | 14 | 52 | .247 | .361 | .422 | .272 | .175 |
8. Kyle Allen | SP | LoA | Age – 20 | Drafted – 24th Round 2008 (B-)
After a great rookie performance I had him pegged as a personal favorite/sleeper and boy he didn’t disappoint. He has a great Fastball/Change-up combination and if he can develop a 3rd plus pitch he can become great.
Best Case Outcome – #3 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah Sand Gnats | 9-6 | 3.45 | 25/19 | 125.1 | 111 | 51 | 59% | 3.74 |
| TOTAL | 9-6 | 3.45 | 25/19 | 125.1 | 111 | 51 | 59% | 3.74 |
9. Josh Thole | C | MLB | Age – 23 | Drafted – 13th Round 2005 (C+)
He has to be cut some slack for his defense. He has turned into a decent fielder for the amount of time he has been behind the plate and seems to make improvements each year. He will never hit for power, but as a catcher with his average and walks he should be fine.
Best Case Outcome – slight above-average MLB catcher
More Likely Outcome – average MLB catcher
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton Mets | 384 | 48 | 29 | 1 | 46 | .328 | .395 | .422 | .349 | .094 |
| New York Mets | 53 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .321 | .356 | .396 | .340 | .075 |
| TOTAL | 437 | 50 | 31 | 1 | 55 | .327 | .394 | .419 | .348 | .092 |
10. Kirk Nieuwenhuis | CF | AA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2008 (C+)
Simply had a great 2009. He is a big kid and the power he has been showing is for real. Has enough speed to stick at center, but his arm is a little weak and that is the only thing I could see moving him to a corner spot. So far the jump to AA went amazing and it will be nice to see if he can continue it. Needs to cut down on K’s.
Best Case Outcome – Above-average center fielder in the mold of Aaron Rowand.
More Likely Outcome – Solid MLB center fielder.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 482 | 91 | 35 | 16 | 71 | .276 | .358 | .469 | .336 | .193 |
| Binghamton Mets | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .406 | .472 | .656 | .545 | .250 |
| TOTAL | 514 | 99 | 38 | 1 | 73 | .284 | .366 | .481 | .348 | .196 |
Should the Mets Go All in for Halladay?
Posted by: | CommentsTRS86 of The Real Dirty Mets Blog says that the Mets should go ALL in for Roy Halladay because no matter what happens the Mets are going to come out as winners. His argument says that if the Mets get him they add another ace to their rotation and become a force to be reckon with and if they do not get him then at least they raise the price for a team like say the Phillies.
Now that it seems the Phillies have signed Pedro Martinez (sad sad day as Pedro is my favorite pitcher to take to a major league game) would they still pursue Halladay? My gut tells me no as the Phillies are generally a cheap team and would not want to take Halladay’s 10 million and or take Vernon Wells/Alex Rios‘s contract when they have a complete outfield already. Plus they would have to risk the future trading some crop including Dominic Brown, Michael Taylor, Jason Knapp, Kyle Drabek, Carlos Carrasco, or Antonio Bastardo.
Now if the Phillies wanted to they could easily put together a much better package for Halladay then the Mets, but would it be a win for the Mets if they did? The answer is yes it would. As a stated earlier the Phillies are rather cheap and will likely have to let Doc walk after 2010 and enter free agency leaving their farm system weaker for a season and a half of Doc so that they can retain Ryan Howard, Chase Utley, and Cole Hamels. It woulf suck for the Mets to have to face Doc over that time, but they won’t have to face Drabek, Brown, and Taylor for many more than just a season and a half.
And if they get Doc well than that puts them into the favorite for the NL East as I don’t feel the Phillies gain as much from getting him as their ballpark is built that they have to put together an amazing offensive team with their pitching not as important as it will be to the Mets who have a weak offense and with their canyon of a ballpark would benefit from adding another pitcher who can keep their offense in the game and give them a chance to win. The Mets prospects are also not as good as the Phillies or they are father away and far more risky. With the Mets financial ability of definitely being able to take on say Alex Rios and $60 mill if they can obtain the combo of the two for a package in the area of Fernando Martinez, Jon Niese/Brad Holt, Reese Havens, and Robert Carson (or any lower level player you choose or 2 depending on who they are) it is a package that I would pull the trigger on and get the Ace and young outfielder. So I tend to agree with the Real Dirty Mets Blog that we should go all in and that either way it is a pretty much win-win. I am a prospect lover and still agree getting rid of some of our best talent for him would be the smartest move, or at least attempting to get rid of our best talent for him would be a smart move.
St. Lucie Announces 6 FSL All-Stars
Posted by: | Comments
The Mets announced starting pitchers Eric Niesen, Brad Holt, and Jenrry Mejia, catcher Francisco Pena, shortstop Reese Havens, and outfielder Kirk Nieuwenhuis to represent the Mets in the Florida State League All-Star Game. Starting pitchers Brad Holt and Jenrry Mejia were selected, but will not attend because of their promotions to AA Binghamton.
….Reese Havens may also miss the game because of injury, but what I want to know is how can Pena make it over Ike Davis? I really don’t know, but Ike just keep it up….









