Archive for Kyle Allen
2011 Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 31-40
Posted by: | CommentsAll grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.
QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:
Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.
Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.
Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels
| 31 | ||||
| • Highest Level: HiA • Team: St. Lucie Mets • B: R | HT: 5-10 | WT: 160 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | AVG | HR | RBI |
| SS | 19 | .266 | 0 | 29 |
Tovar’s best tool can not be seen or measured by these numbers as his defense is off the charts. He has received rave reviews from everyone that has seen him play the field making circus plays look routine. He has gold glove potential defense, but his biggest question marks will always be his size (5’10 160 is a generous listing) and bat.
| 32 | ||||
| • Highest Level: AA • Team: Binghamton Mets • B: L | HT: 6-3 | WT: 220 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | W-L | ERA | SO |
| LHP | 22 | 8-11 | 5.67 | 99 |
This is a situation where if the prospect fails I am putting it on the Mets’ shoulders. Carson was doing okay, but not dominating in St. Lucie so they move him up to AA where he gets bombed. Carson still has the stuff to succeed, but did terrible in the “AA test” so a move to the pen might be in store.
| 33 | ||||
| • Highest Level: Rk • Team: Kingsport Mets • B: R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 165 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | AVG | HR | RBI |
| OF | 21 | .319 | 4 | 24 |
While Rodriguez is a little old for Kingsport he finally began to put his tools together last year. I am always a little weary of the power numbers prospects put up in Kingsport, but I am trying to stay positive of the former second round pick. Next year will decide if he is a real prospect or not.
| 34 | ||||
| • Highest Level: HiA • Team: St. Lucie Mets • B: R | HT: 6-3 | WT: 195 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | W-L | ERA | SO |
| RHP | 21 | .6-8 | 5.24 | 53 |
I was high on Allen entering 2010, but he was just awful for St. Lucie. He walked more (54) than he struckout (53) and did not get nearly as many groundballs as he had in the past. He gets the benefit of the doubt because he was pitching with a back injury, but I am not too excited about his potential anymore.
| 35 | ||||
| • Highest Level: HiA • Team: St. Lucie Mets • B: R | HT: 6-1 | WT: 215 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | AVG | HR | RBI |
| C | 24 | .291 | 4 | 43 |
The older German product started coming around with the bat in 2010. He is already an average to above average defensive catcher and if he can sustain the new offensive production he could develop into a major league back up catcher.
| 36 | ||||
| • Highest Level: AA • Team: Binghamton Mets • B: R | HT: 6-3 | WT: 220 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | AVG | HR | RBI |
| 3B | 24 | .306 | 10 | 51 |
Campbell has very quietly turned into a nice bat for the organization. He plays adequate defense at third and has a good approach at the plate that held up in the jump to AA.
| 37 | ||||
| • Highest Level: Rk • Team: GCL Mets • B: R | HT: 6-4 | WT: 186 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | W-L | ERA | SO |
| RHP | 19 | 4-4 | 3.38 | 34 |
The results were okay on the surface, but not spectacular. He is going to need to up the strikeouts and the stuff suggests he will do it in the future with already a low 90′s fastball and flashes of plus change-up. The projection is there for him to become a legitimate prospect only time will tell.
| 38 | ||||
| • Highest Level: Rk • Team: GCL Mets • B: L | HT: 6-1 | WT: 180 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | W-L | ERA | SO |
| LHP | 20 | 0-1 | 3.31 | 18 |
One of the few Mets overslots in recent years actually pitched well during his brief time flashing good K rates and keeping the balls on the ground, but was suspended for PED’s. Will need to move quickly when he returns.
| 39 | ||||
| • Highest Level: – • Team: – • B: R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 195 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | AVG | HR | RBI |
| 3B | 16 | – | – | – |
One of the big international free agents in 2010 for the Mets. Sanchez is a big third baseman with plus to plus-plus raw power, but hwo might need to move to first base. He was the 15th best Latin American prospect.
| 40 | ||||
| • Highest Level: – • Team: – • B: R | HT: 5-11 | WT: 180 |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| POS | AGE | AVG | HR | RBI |
| OF | 16 | – | – | – |
The other main attraction from the IFA class. Lupo was the 25th best ranked prospect form Latin America and is also considered to have plus to plus-plus raw power.
Mets Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 1-10
Posted by: | CommentsFor an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page. I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.
1. Fernando Martinez | CF | AA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2005 (B+)
Still the Mets number 1 for me. He is just 21 and put up a great line of .290/.337/.540 in AAA before being called up. If a college draft pick went to AAA and put up that line he would probably be a top 10 prospect and Martinez gets over looked. He was rushed to the bigs, but watch for him in 2010 if he can have a healthy season.
Best Case Outcome – Middle of the order bat with good defense
More Likely Outcome – Solid everyday player with 1-2 all-star appearances
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bisons | 176 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 28 | .290 | .337 | .540 | .319 | .250 |
| New York Mets | 91 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 8 | .176 | .242 | .275 | .197 | .099 |
| TOTAL | 267 | 35 | 22 | 9 | 36 | .251 | .304 | .449 | .274 | .199 |
2. Jenrry Mejia | SP | AA | Age – 20 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (B+)
The prize arm in the Mets system Mejia has a great fastball to go along with an average an average change-up and developing curve. Nice all around numbers on the season.
Best Case Outcome – Ace starter/All-Star Closer
More Likely Outcome – Good #3/Set-up man
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 4-1 | 1.97 | 9/9 | 50.1 | 44 | 16 | 68% | 2.52 |
| Binghamton Mets | 0-5 | 4.47 | 10/10 | 44.1 | 48 | 23 | 59% | 3.49 |
| TOTAL | 4-6 | 3.14 | 19/19 | 94.2 | 91 | 39 | 64% | 2.95 |
3. Ike Davis | 1B | AA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B+)
Ike has all the physical tools and showed them off in 2009 with a .298 average and 20 home runs in A+ and AA. The best part of his season was that he didn’t slow down after the promotion he improved. An aggressive ranking, but I believe in his bat.
Best Case Outcome – Slugging first baseman with great defense
More Likely Outcome – League Average first baseman with great defense.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | .BABIP | .ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 222 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 28 | .288 | .376 | .486 | .348 | .198 |
| Binghamton Mets | 207 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 43 | .309 | .386 | .565 | .381 | .256 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 58 | 31 | 20 | 71 | .298 | .381 | .524 | .365 | .226 |
4. Jon Niese | SP | MLB | Age – 23 | Drafted – 7th Round 2005 (B)
Gets over looked a lot because of lack of elite velocity (89.4 avg velo), but his outstanding curve and cutter that is already becoming a plus pitch will set him up for great success.
Best Case Outcome – #2 starter in the mold of Andy Pettitte.
More Likely Outcome – Good #4 starter.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | .BABIP | .ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 222 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 28 | .288 | .376 | .486 | .348 | .198 |
| Binghamton Mets | 207 | 30 | 14 | 13 | 43 | .309 | .386 | .565 | .381 | .256 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 58 | 31 | 20 | 71 | .298 | .381 | .524 | .365 | .226 |
5. Wilmer Flores | SS | LoA | Age – 18 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (B)
This season was a little bit of a disappointment from Flores, especially in the power department, but being such a young age in LoA he gets some slack.
Best Case Outcome – Top-3 offensive left fielder
More Likely Outcome – Top-15 offensive left fielder
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bisons | 5-6 | 3.82 | 16/16 | 94.1 | 82 | 26 | 56% | 3.38 |
| New York Mets | 1-1 | 4.21 | 5/5 | 25.2 | 18 | 9 | 46% | 3.21 |
| TOTAL | 6-7 | 3.90 | 21/21 | 120.0 | 100 | 35 | 51% | 3.28 |
6. Brad Holt | SP | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B-)
Most people are worried about the showing Holt put up in AA. He was dealing with some injuries, dominated A+, and his K rate was still pretty solid, but it was his control that hurt him. The control would also correlate with him being injured.
Best Case Outcome – #2 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter/set-up man
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 4-1 | 3.12 | 9/9 | 43.1 | 54 | 13 | 37% | 3.15 |
| Binghamton Mets | 3-6 | 6.21 | 11/11 | 58.0 | 45 | 23 | 37% | 4.96 |
| TOTAL | 7-7 | 4.90 | 19/19 | 101.1 | 99 | 39 | 37% | 4.20 |
7. Reese Havens | 2B | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (B-)
He was pretty unlucky last year with a .272 BABIP I fully expect his average to go up. Doesn’t strike out too much, gets a good amount of walks, has enough speed to up the steals, and provides good power. He also provides those intangibles you look for in all good ballplayers. Will be interesting to see how he adjusts to 2nd base.
Best Case Outcome – Above-average second baseman who gets 1 or 2 all-star appearances on career years.
More Likely Outcome – Solid MLB starter.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 360 | 53 | 19 | 14 | 52 | .247 | .361 | .422 | .272 | .175 |
| TOTAL | 360 | 53 | 19 | 14 | 52 | .247 | .361 | .422 | .272 | .175 |
8. Kyle Allen | SP | LoA | Age – 20 | Drafted – 24th Round 2008 (B-)
After a great rookie performance I had him pegged as a personal favorite/sleeper and boy he didn’t disappoint. He has a great Fastball/Change-up combination and if he can develop a 3rd plus pitch he can become great.
Best Case Outcome – #3 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Savannah Sand Gnats | 9-6 | 3.45 | 25/19 | 125.1 | 111 | 51 | 59% | 3.74 |
| TOTAL | 9-6 | 3.45 | 25/19 | 125.1 | 111 | 51 | 59% | 3.74 |
9. Josh Thole | C | MLB | Age – 23 | Drafted – 13th Round 2005 (C+)
He has to be cut some slack for his defense. He has turned into a decent fielder for the amount of time he has been behind the plate and seems to make improvements each year. He will never hit for power, but as a catcher with his average and walks he should be fine.
Best Case Outcome – slight above-average MLB catcher
More Likely Outcome – average MLB catcher
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Binghamton Mets | 384 | 48 | 29 | 1 | 46 | .328 | .395 | .422 | .349 | .094 |
| New York Mets | 53 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | .321 | .356 | .396 | .340 | .075 |
| TOTAL | 437 | 50 | 31 | 1 | 55 | .327 | .394 | .419 | .348 | .092 |
10. Kirk Nieuwenhuis | CF | AA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2008 (C+)
Simply had a great 2009. He is a big kid and the power he has been showing is for real. Has enough speed to stick at center, but his arm is a little weak and that is the only thing I could see moving him to a corner spot. So far the jump to AA went amazing and it will be nice to see if he can continue it. Needs to cut down on K’s.
Best Case Outcome – Above-average center fielder in the mold of Aaron Rowand.
More Likely Outcome – Solid MLB center fielder.
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 482 | 91 | 35 | 16 | 71 | .276 | .358 | .469 | .336 | .193 |
| Binghamton Mets | 32 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .406 | .472 | .656 | .545 | .250 |
| TOTAL | 514 | 99 | 38 | 1 | 73 | .284 | .366 | .481 | .348 | .196 |
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