Archive for Juan Urbina
Link: Video of Juan Urbina in Spring
Posted by: | Comments…This video is shows off the smooth and easily repeatable delivery, quick arm action, athleticism, and room for projection Urbina posses that scouts just love…
2011 Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 11-20
Posted by: | CommentsAll grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.
QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:
Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.
Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.
Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels
11. Lucas Duda | OF | AAA | Age – 25 | Drafted – 7th Round 2007 (C+)
Duda burst onto the scene in 2010 with some huge power numbers. This are the numbers that made him a top prospect out of high school, but he had never put it together in college or in the minors till this point. His bat looks like it will play anywhere, but it is just a matter of where it will wind up.
Best Case Outcome – All bat slugger
Most Likely Outcome – Platoon hitter
12. Armando Rodriguez | SP | LoA | Age – 23 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)
Possibly the most overlooked prospect in the whole system. If you look at his numbers there is almost nothing you can complain about. The only thing holding him back from higher rankings anywhere is an average fastball and fringe average breaking ball.
Best Case Outcome – #3/4 starter
More Likely Outcome – Middle reliever
13. Zach Lutz | 3B | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 5th Round 2007 (C+)
Similar to Reese Havens health has been the only thing holding him back. He can absolutely mash when he is on the field, but various different injuries have prevented that from happening. Not a terrible fielder still his bat will always carry him.
Best Case Outcome – Everyday Hitter
Most Likely Outcome – Role Player/Bench Bat
14. Juan Urbina | SP | GCL | Age – 17 | Drafted – IFA 2009 (C+)
I am not as big on Urbina as some other people. He does have some intriguing upside with a decent fastball and good change up, but I need to see some more positive results before I go any higher. I love the control for a young pitcher.
Best Case Outcome – #2/3 starter
Most Likely Outcome – Too early to tell. Anything from #3/4 starter to career minor leaguer
15. Sean Ratliff | OF | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 4th Round 2008 (C+)
Ratliff had a really big, breakout season in 2010. His numbers only got better after being moved out of the tough environment in St. Lucie and up to AA. His BABIP was high, but it has been high throughout his whole career. If he could ever get his strikeouts under control he can become a force.
Best Case Outcome – Starting Outfielder
Most Likely Outcome – Platoon Fielder
16. Darrell Ceciliani | OF | SSA | Age – 20 | Drafted – 4th Round 2009 (C+)
A great fielder and speedster, had a great season swinging the lumber in Brooklyn. The 12 triples just show you what kind of speed he poses, but he is still a little raw on the basepaths. Not much to complain about so far.
Best Case Outcome – Good leadoff hitter and fielder
Most Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder
17. Mark Cohoon | SP | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 12th Round 2008 (C+)
Cohoon completely changed my opinion on him as I was a huge hater. Dominance is an understatement for his efforts in the Sally and after a few terrible starts in AA he really settled down and was great again. If only he had a big time fastball he would be a huge prospect, but until he makes it in the pros he will always have some doubters.
Best Case Outcome – #3/4 Starter
Most Likely Outcome – #5 Starter/Loogy
18. Albert Cordeo | C | LoA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)
Good athletic defensive catcher who has shown some pop. Has some high upside if the bat continues to develop along. I like him a lot. Huge sleeper potential in 2011.
Best Case Outcome - Starting Catcher
Most Likely Outcome – Bench player
19. Dillon Gee | SP | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 21st Round 2007 (C+)
Pitched much better in AAA than his ERA says. Great peripherals and an inflated BABIP were his killers. On the flip side he didn’t pitch nearly as well in NY as his ERA. Should compete for the 5th starter spot in camp.
Best Case Outcome - #4/5 starter
Most Likely Outcome - #5 starter/middle relief
20. Matt Den Dekker | OF | LoA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 5th Round 2010 (C+)
Had a great start to his career after signing. Stark splits as he kills righties and didn’t do to well against lefties. His defensive alone should help him find a way onto a big league roster at some point.
Best Case Outcome – Fringe starter/platoon partner
Most Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder
Mets Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 11-20
Posted by: | CommentsFor an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page. I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.
11. Jeurys Familia | SP | LoA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)
Good pitchers build standing 6’3 185 lbs with room to add some more muscle. He throws a fastball at 90-93 mph touching 94 with good movement. He uses a slurve type breaking ball at 78-80 mph that he needs to tighten up if he wants it to be a true out pitch in the bigs. His worst pitch by far is his 81-83 mph change up with little movement.
Perfect World Projection – #3 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
Savannah Sand Gnats 10-6 2.69 24/23 134.0 109 46 53% 3.45
TOTAL 10-6 2.69 24/23 134.0 109 46 53% 3.45
12. Steven Matz | SP | HS | Age – 18 | Drafted – 2nd Round 2009 (C+)
The Mets top pick from the 2009 draft has some serious upside. The big 6’2 lefty is a New York native who probably would have went higher in the draft had he lived in California or Florida. He has three pitch arsenal that features a 88-90 mph fastball that has topped out at 93. Also throws a change up, curveball, and newly added slider.
Perfect World Projection – #2 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter
NO STATS
13. Ruben Tejada | SS | AA | Age – 20 | Drafted – 2006 IFA (C+)
Young, udnersized slick fielding shortstop from Panama only a generous 5’11 165 lbs. He swings for contact, but isn’t quiet the slap hitter of Luis Castilllo, but knows what to do with the glove. Could move to 2nd, but will have competition no matter where he goes with Jose Reyes in NY and Reese Havens in the minors.
Perfect World Projection – Average shortstop with the bat, but has great defense
More Likely Outcome – Great defensive shortstop with no bat
TEAM AB R 2B HR RBI .AVG .OBP .SLG .BABIP .ISO
Binghamton Mets 488 59 24 5 46 .289 .343 .381 .321 .092
TOTAL 488 59 24 5 46 .289 .343 .381 .321 .092
14. Juan Urbina | SP | HS | Age – 16 | Drafted – IFA 2009 (C+)
The son of former major league pitcher Ugeth Urbina. Hopefully one day he will get the same nickname as his father “Butcher”, but for cutting up Philly hitters not actual people(or at least chasing them with knives). I always like a young pitcher whose best pitch is a change up and is able to pump out a fastball at 90 mph already.
Perfect World Projection – #2 starter (?)
More Likely Outcome – #4 starter
NO STATS
15. Cesar Puello | OF | Rk | Age – 18 | Drafted – 2007 IFA (C+)
Big, strong kid who signed along with Wilmer Flores and Jefry Marte with the Mets in 2007. He is the only one still in rookie ball, but this is mostly do to the injury bug. Has above average speed to go along with an above average arm he does everything pretty well. Major sleeper in 2010 could break out big if he can stay healthy.
Perfect World Projection – All-Star caliber outfielder
More Likely Outcome – Everyday MLB outfielder
TEAM AB R 2B HR RBI .AVG .OBP .SLG .BABIP .ISO
Binghamton Mets 198 24 6 1 17 .298 .372 .429 .380 .131
TOTAL 198 24 6 1 17 .298 .372 .429 .38 .131
16. Eric Niesen | SP | AA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2007 (C+)
Smaller lefty with a filthy fastball. It has good velocity coming in in the low 90′s and touching the mid 90′s, but it is so effective due to its late life and movement. Has ridiculous late tailing actual that breaks in on the hands of lefties. His slider also has potential of being a plus pitch with with good, tight downward tilt.
Perfect World Projection – #4 starter
More Likely Outcome – LOOGY
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
St. Lucie Mets 3-4 3.28 11/11 57.2 49 16 46% 3.53
Binghamton Mets 4-7 4.66 16/16 83.0 85 41 39% 3.64
TOTAL 7-11 4.11 27/27 140.2 134 57 42% 3.58
17. Jefry Marte | 3B | LoA | Age – 18 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)
This ranking might be a bit harsh, but so was Marte’s 2009. He hit an abysmal .233 and his BABIP wasn’t even that low at .291, he simply just did not hit. Right now this is playing out as one of the cases the Mets rush a prospect to the point of failure. Still has age and upside, but he is going to have to show some more offense in 2010 to make up for his terrible defense.
Perfect World Projection – Slugging 3rd baseman
More Likely Outcome – Everyday 3rd baseman
TEAM AB R 2B HR RBI .AVG .OBP .SLG .BABIP .ISO
Savannah Sand Gnats 485 58 21 6 41 .233 .278 .338 .396 .105
TOTAL 485 58 21 6 41 .233 .278 .338 .396 .105
18. Eric Beaulac | SP | LoA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 9th Round 2008 (C)
My personal favorite and an extremely underrated prospect. New York native and Mets fan doesn’t have the most or more consistent stuff, but gets the job done. His fastball as been clocked as low as 86 mph and as high as 94 mph, but mostly stays in the 88-90 mph range. His best pitch is a slider which has a good downward bite at 81 mph and is a true strikeout pitch. The lack of a change up lead most to believe he is best suited for a bullpen role as does Beaulac himself.
Best Case Outcome – #4 starter
More Likely Outcome – Relief pitcher
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
Savannah Sand Gnats 7-7 2.95 26/19 116.0 133 41 48% 3.45
TOTAL 7-7 2.95 26/19 116.0 133 41 48% 3.13
19. Robert Carson | SP | LoA | Age – 18 | Drafted – 14th Round 2007 (C)
I actually think I might be ranking him a bit low here at 19. Sure has the stuff and stats to be up there Allen and Familia, but just isn’t quiet as polished. Fastball sits 88-90 touching 92 and hitters can’t seem to square it up. Also uses a 84-86 mph slider and 78-80 mph change up. Even if he has pubicly stated he doesn’t look for the strikeout he needs to strikeout more batters. Love the ground balls.
Perfect World Projection – #3 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4/5 starter
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
Savannah Sand Gnats 8-10 3.21 25/25 131.2 90 45 57% 3.65
TOTAL 8-10 3.21 25/25 131.2 90 45 57% 3.65
20. Scott Moviel | SP | HiA | Age – 21 | Drafted – 2nd Round 2007 (C)
Looks like a tree trunk on the mound being listed anywhere from 6’9 to 6’11 and 245 lbs. Actually had a pretty solid year considering he was trying to recover from knee surgery. Needs to work on his mechanics and command as the stuff is already there.
Perfect World Projection – #3 starter
More Liketly Outcome – #5 starter/Set up Man
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
St. Lucie Mets 4-5 3.92 13/13 64.1 46 24 47% 3.81
TOTAL 4-5 3.92 13/13 64.1 46 24 47% 3.81
Mets Sign Juan Urbina for $1 Mill
Posted by: | CommentsBaseball Prospectus has reported that the New York Mets have signed left handed pitcher Juan Urbina to a igning bonus in the range of $1 million dollars.
It’s been confirmed to me that the Mets have signed Venezuelan LHP Juan Urbina, son of former big leaguer Ugueth Urbina. I have also confirmed that the bonus is for over $1 million. I’ll try to track down the specific amount. Sources also indicate this will be the only Mets signing today.
And boy Kiley McDaniel was right about everything. The Mets have signed him and the did not sign anybody else on the July 2nd signing date. They are still linked to a couple high priced shortstops like Jairo Kelly, but have not signed anybody else.
Urbina has a fastball that sits at 88-89 but reaches 91 to go along with an advanced curveball for his age. This helps bolster the Mets left handers inj the sytem, which is a pretty slim area with only Jon Niese, Robert Carson, Eric Niesen, and Darin Gorski as serious prospects in that area. I really like that Urbina has a solid fastball, good curve, and pitchability. Pitchability is my favorite tool he has as it i the hardest thing to teach someone and can take years to develop, but to have it at such a young age is just great.
Sorry for posting this so late like I said I moved to a paid host which took some time and then my computer broke. Not good.
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