Archive for Jordany Valdespin
Player Spotlight: Jordany Valdespin, SS/2B
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Jordany Valdespin got a late and usual start to his career, but that hasn’t prevented him from from becoming a top prospect. As most Latin American prospects sign and get their career underway at 16-years-old Valdespin did not until he was 19. He signed in June of 2007 for an unknown amount, which was probably next to nothing, considering the Mets reasoning for signing him was they needed to fill a roster spot for their team in the Dominican Summer League. It is looking like a brilliant move right now. Valdespin showed an advanced approach at the plate in the DSL hitting .245/.369/.338 with a 24:26 BB:K ratio. He didn’t show much power, but displayed decent speed that caught the eye of some. He played almost exclusively at second base (two games in the outfield) and played great defensively with a .979 fielding percentage and a good range factor.
The Mets liked Valdespin enough to bring him stateside in 2008 and put him on the GCL Mets, where he first really made a name for himself. Valdespin barely walked at all, but displayed a great ability to put the ball in play, hit for a higher average, and exhibited some power. His .289/.319/.440 line was a big improvement and he even saw some time at shortstop for the first time.
2009 was Valdespin’s first taste of full-season ball and it turned out to be a doozy of a season. Valdespin opened the year on the bench behind Josh Satin at second and Wilmer Flores at short, but he still got decent playing time and posted great numbers (finished the year .322/.366/.480 in Savannah). At times, however, he seemed to go disappearing and then got demoted with the reasoning being disciplinary action handed down by Tony Bernazard and the Mets front office. They never went into details of exactly why Valdespin was punished, but it sent up red flags about his make up. Mike Newman of Scouting the Sally came away less than impressed with Valdespin during his time with the Gants. On the field it was still another positive year for Valdespin, but the tension he created with the front office made it look like he would always be on the outside looking in.
Despite all of the disciplinary problems and broken bridges, Valdespin opened 2010 with St. Lucie and once again hit. His .289 average was good and while a .148 ISO is right around the league average, coming from a middle infield in the FSL it was a plus and showed once again why people were intrigued by Jordany’s bat. He found a way to lower his extremely low walk rate, but on the positive side struckout less than he had in ’09. He opened the year playing shortstop, but moved back to second to accomodate Flores after his promotion from Savannah. He was awful at short anyway with a .889 fielding percentage and poor range factor so the move to second looked like it was necessary. He got a callup to Binghamton towards the end of the year where he struggled to get going. His baserunning skills were the most disappointing stat of the year. For someone who was supposed to have above-average speed he was successful just 17 times in 29 attempts (59%), which doesn’t cut it from a top of the order threat. While was fast, it was apparent his skills were still raw despite being 22-years-old already. He went to the Arizona Fall League at the end of the year and posted an exceptional .355/.388/.461. He got his walk rate back to about his career average of 5% (still not good) and hit the cover off the all. The Mets saw enough to add him to the 40-man roster to keep him safe from the Rule V Draft.
2011 has been a complete revelation for Valdespin. He appeared in 10 games in spring training and really stood out with the bat hitting .333/.375/.733. He played second base and has a showed that pop with a double, triple, and homerun in 15 at-bats. The opening to his season in Binghamton wasn’t quiet as pleasant. He struggled out of the gate in April and while he got right back to his career numbers in May, he resorted back to his old ways in the bad sense too. He was pulled from the game and benched on June 2nd by Wally Backman for a lack of effort, but this very well could have been the turning point of his season and even career. In his first at-bat back from the benching on June 7th he hit a pinch hit homerun. It was right after this that Valdespin took off and has posted a .353/.386/.564 line since then over 34 games, with 8 of his 10 homeruns on the season coming at this time. It was shortly before this that the Mets moved Valdespin back to shortstop full-time. Baseball America believes this might have been what turned his season around. While his offensive numbers have been on another planet since the move, he has been a big liability in the field. He has committed 20 errors in 249 chances (.920%), although on the positive side his range factor isn’t that bad. And while he has had a bad recent stretch getting caught stealing four times in the last eight games, he has improved with his base stealing skills and has been successful 73% of the time.
Valdespin’s turnaround has been a shot in the arm for the Mets farm system and for the time being it looks like he has refined his raw tools to become a real ball player and not just an athlete. His walk rate is still worrisome, but he is striking out just 16.9% of the time. While they are slightly worse, they are not they far off from the BB% and K% of Jose Reyes who I think we can agree is one of the best top of the order threats in baseball. If Valdespin keeps producing like he has over this recent stretch there is every reason to believe he can be a viable replacement for Reyes, if he overcomes his maturity issues, God forbid Reyes sign elsewhere this off-season. Valdespin is no guarantee by any means and he still has a lot of work to do to become an MLB regular, but he has that kind of upside with the downside being a utility middle infielder who can come off the bench and provide a spark on the basepaths or at the plate.
2011 Top 50 Prospects: Prospects 21-30
Posted by: | CommentsAll grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.
QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:
Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.
Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.
Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels
21. Akeel Morris | SP | GCL | Age – 18 | Drafted – 10th Round 2010 (C+)
Part of me wanted to get him into the top 20, but I guess I’ll save that for next year. Extremely young prospect with a big arm showed he had a little more polish than what cost him to last until the 10th round. Probably the prospect most poised for a “breakout” season.
Best Case Outcome – (Too early) #2 Starter
Most Likely Outcome – Relief arm/Career minor leaguer

22. Brad Holt | SP | HiA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 1st Round 2008 (C+)
His season was just disgustingly awful. No command of his pitches is costing him dearly and how does a player regress when getting demoted to go play in a less talented league and in our better pitcher’s park? Stuff and pedigree is the only thing keeping him up here.
Best Case Outcome – #5 starter
Most Likely Outcome – Relief arm/Career minor leaguer

23. Jefry Marte | 3B | LoA | Age – 19 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)
He’s still young, but at some point he is going to have to start hitting again like he did back in ’08 in the GCL. There just hasn’t been much power or average and he doesn’t play great defense to make up for that.
Best Case Outcome – Starting 3rd baseman
Most Likely Outcome – Career minor leaguer

24. Steven Matz | SP | DNP | Age – 19 | Drafted 2nd Round 2009 (C+)
Didn’t pitch last year because of Tommy John Surgery. I still like his stuff and potential as I am not as worried about young pitchers having TJS anymore.
Best Case Outcome – #3 starter
Most Likely Outcome – #4 starter/reliever
*No Stats*
25. Brian Harrison | 3B | LoA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 13th Round 2010 (C)
My favorite draft pick from the 2010 class after the initial round guys. If he can stay healthy he has a chance to sky rocket up this list. A great hitter with good power. Remember this name and don’t sleep on him.
Best Case Outcome – Starting 3rd baseman
Most Likely Outcome – Bench player

26. Josh Satin | 2B/1B | AA | Age – 26 | Drafted – 6th Round 2008 (C)
Has done nothing but hit since being drafted his only downfall is his age. I’ve liked him since seeing him in Brooklyn and think he can become a useful MLB player.
Best Case Outcome – Starter on bad team
Most Likely Outcome – Bench player

27. Erik Goeddel | P | GCL | Age – 22 | Drafted – 24th R0und 2010 (C)
Another late round pick who can really move up in the prospect world if he can remain healthy. Big time fastball and slider, but has some arm troubles and had to be shut down last year after just 1 inning because of soreness.
Best Case Outcome – #3 starter/closer
Most Likely Outcome – Set up man

28. Jordany Valdespin | 2B | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C)
Stuck behind some players on the depth chart, but the Mets liked him enough to add him to the 40 man roster and keep him safe from the Rule V draft and avoid another Jesus Flores incident. Still a bit of an enigma, but he has talent with this being a crucial season for him.
Best Case Outcome – Bench player
Most Likely Outcome – Career minor leaguer

29. Ryan Fraser | CL | SSA | Age – 22 | Drafted – 16th Round 2010 (C)
Big armed reliever whose didn’t fare that well in college. Things changed with the switch to wood bats and he dominated the NYPL with his fastball. Looked real good in person. Like his stuff a lot.
Best Case Outcome – Set up man
Most Likely Outcome – middle reliever

30. Robbie Shields | SS | LoA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 3rd Round 2009 (C)
Hit very well coming off TJS. Will need to push through the system pretty quickly at his age, but he has the potential to do so. His minor problem is the chances of him sticking at short dropped dramatically with his TJS. Position will be important for his bat.
Best Case Outcome – Bench player
Most Likely Outcome – Career minor leaguer

Mets Top Prospects: Prospects #21-30
Posted by: | CommentsFor an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page. I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.
21. Zach Dotson| SP | HS | Age – 19 | Drafted – 13th Round 2009 (C)
Big projecteble lefty prep lefty taken in this year’s draft and one of the few over slot picks by the Mets. Already has a good enough fastball just needs to refine his change-up. Very althetic and is my sleeper pick for 2010.
Perfect World Projection – #3 starter
More Likely Outcome – #4/5 starter
NO STATS
22. Dillon Gee | SP | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 21st Round 2007 (C)
Gee is no fireballer, but he knows how to pitch and get things done with superb command. I thought he had a shot to pitch on the Mets last year and then he got injured and that all went down the drawn. If he has a successful campaign early in AAA he has a shot to come up later during the year.
Perfect World Projection – #4 starter
More Likely Outcome – #5 starter/Middle relief
| TEAM | W-L | ERA | G/GS | IP | SO | BB | GB% | FIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bisons | 1-3 | 4.10 | 9/9 | 48 | 42 | 16 | 41% | 4.07 |
| TOTAL | 1-3 | 4.10 | 9/9 | 48 | 42 | 16 | 41% | 4.07 |
23. Brant Rustich | SP | HiA | Age – 25 | Drafted – 2nd Round 2007 (C)
Huge guy standing 6’6 230 lbs with the stuff to go along with it. His big size and big stuff have provided good results when healthy. The problem is he is always hurt. This is going to be a crucial year in his development as a prospect. My advice is move him back to the pen full time.
Perfect World Projection – Top Set-Up man/Closer
More Likely Outcome – Middle relief
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
St. Lucie Mets 1-1 2.45 19/3 48 46 17 54% 2.44
TOTAL 1-1 2.45 19/3 48 46 17 54% 2.44
24. Zach Lutz | 3B | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 5th Round 2007 (C)
Just a professional hitter. He knows what he is doing with a compact swing, but can’t play much defense. Think of him as a Daniel Murphy type of player (although I think he has a better shot to stick at 3rd than Murph).
Perfect World Projection – Solid Regular
More Likely Outcome – Role player/great pinch hitter
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | BABIP | ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucie Mets | 356 | 46 | 19 | 11 | 62 | .284 | .381 | .441 | .330 | .157 |
| Binghamton Mets | 29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .207 | .324 | .241 | .273 | .034 |
| TOTAL | 385 | 46 | 20 | 11 | 64 | .278 | .378 | .426 | .325 | .148 |
25. Aderlin Rodriguez | 3B | GCL | Age – 18 | Drafted – IFA 2008 (C)
The Mets big international free agent signing of 2008. He has filled out a bit more than other Latin signees at 210 lbs and already has shown good power. He has been an absolute pitcher in the field, but was also recovering from a broken wrist so we will see if that had anything to do with it next year.
Perfect World Projection – All-Star 3rd baseman
More Likely Outcome – MLB player
TEAM AB R 2B HR RBI .AVG .OBP .SLG .BABIP .ISO
GCL Mets 62 5 3 1 10 .290 .389 .387 .370 .097
TOTAL 62 5 3 1 10 .290 .389 .387 .370 .097
26. Jordany Valdespin | 2B | LoA | Age – 22 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C)
All tools right now, Valdespin has a world of talent but got into some of the field trouble that caused the Mets to suspend him several times and have him seem to “disappear”. He has good speed and has shown a decent amount of pop.
Perfect World Projection – MLB 2nd baseman
More Likely Outcome – MLB role player
| TEAM | AB | R | 2B | HR | RBI | .AVG | .OBP | .SLG | .BABIP | .ISO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSL Mets | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .333 | .421 | .600 | .357 | .267 |
| GCL Mets | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .174 | .208 | .174 | .200 | .000 |
| Brooklyn Cyclones | 68 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | .279 | .329 | .397 | .353 | .118 |
| Savannah Sand Gnats | 153 | 30 | 9 | 3 | 17 | .320 | .366 | .477 | .390 | .157 |
| TOTAL | 259 | 40 | 12 | 4 | 27 | .297 | .350 | .436 | .360 | .139 |
27. Tobi Stoner | SP | MLB | Age – 25 | Drafted – 16th round 2006 (C)
Start who gets away with fringe stuff at best. What he is able to do well is incorporate a 4 pitch arsenal that he can throw for strikes. If he can refine his curve or slider a little more he has a shot to stick as a starter.
Perfect World Projection – #5 starter innings eater
More Likely Outcome – Middle relief
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
Binghamton Mets 2-2 2.68 7/7 47 28 13 40% 4.24
Buffalo Bisons 7-7 3.96 16/16 97.2 64 34 42% 4.15
New York Mets 0-0 4.00 4/0 9 5 3 37% 5.84
TOTAL 9-9 3.59 27/23 153.2 97 50 40% 4.25
28. Robbie Shields | SS | SSA | Age – 22 | Drafted– 2nd round 2009 (C)
Was highly regarded after his sophomore season, but fell down some draft boards after a subpar junior season. Was terrible in Brooklyn, but he still has good tools and I thought he looked better in Brooklyn then his stats will lead you to believe. He would rank higher if not for Tommy John surgery which could make the predicted move off of short come sooner rather than later.
Perfect World Projection – MLB starting shortstop
More Likely Outcome – Bench player
TEAM AB R 2B HR RBI .AVG .OBP .SLG .BABIP .ISO
Brooklyn Cyclones 146 14 4 1 9 .178 .269 .267 .221 .089
TOTAL 146 14 4 1 9 .178 .269 .267 .221 .089
29. Eduardo Aldama | SP | Rk | Age – 20 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (C)
Young Latin player with a live arm was fairly successful in Kingsport. He strikes out a lot of batters and maintains a nice GB% giving him a great combo of K’s and GBs.. Serious sleeper for 2010.
Perfect World Projection – #3 starter
More Likely Outcome – Middle relief
TEAM W-L ERA G/GS IP SO BB GB% FIP
Kingsport Mets 5-1 3.79 12/12 61.2 57 23 55% 3.46
Savannah Sand Gnats 0-1 21.00 1/1 3 3 2 55% 7.53
TOTAL 5-2 4.62 13/13 64.2 60 25 55% 3.56
30. Carlos Guzman | RF | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – UFA 2006 (C)
Very underrated prospect. He is a New York boy who went undrafted, but has done nothing but hit since he signed with the Mets. A big kid with great power numbers for the FSL. Hopefully he doesn’t go the Brahiam Moldonado route and take five steps back this season.
Perfect World Projection – MLB outfielder
More Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder/AAAA player
TEAM AB R 2B HR RBI .AVG .OBP .SLG .BABIP .ISO
St. Lucie Mets 472 59 28 15 64 .290 .346 .453 .337 .163
Binghamton Mets 23 2 0 1 3 .130 .200 .261 .133 .131
TOTAL 495 61 28 16 67 .283 .343 .444 .329 .162









