Archive for Francisco Pena

All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.

QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:

Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.

Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.

Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels


41
JOSH STINSON
• Highest Level: AAA
• Team: Buffalo Bisons
• B: R | HT: 6-4 | WT: 210
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
SP 23 11-5 3.90 89:58

Am I a little low on Stinson in these rankings? Maybe. It is only because I am not that confident in his ability to remain in the rotation. While his ERA and K numbers look much better in AAA than in AA his FIP actually increased in Buffalo (4.94) compared to Binghamton (4.49). If he makes it as a starter he is a number five at best, which is not bad, still he could be a very good reliever.


42
FRANCISCO PENA
• Highest Level: HiA
• Team: St. Lucie Mets
• B: R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 230
POS AGE .AVG HR RBI
C 21 .290 0 9

I’m still not a huge fan of Pena’s, but he is still young and has potential so he gets a mulligan and remains in the top 50 prospects. Missed almost all of 2010 because of injuries. He spent a lot of time in extended spring training and did perform fairly well during the limited action he did see. If he doesn’t show significant progress this year I’ll have no problem leaving him off the list.



43
MANNY ALVAREZ
• Highest Level: AAA
• Team: Buffalo Bisons
• B: R | HT: 5-11 | WT: 215
POS AGE SV ERA K:BB
RP 25 17 2.17 12:84

Alvarez is a terrific reliever who should be ready to contribute as soon as this year. Really showed no holes in his game and pitched well at every level now it just remains to be seen if he can duplicate his success.



44
GREG PEAVEY
• Highest Level: –
• Team: –
• B: R | HT: 6-1 | WT: 200
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
SP 22

SLEEPER ALERT. Peavey is the complete package as a pitcher. He is not an overpowering player with filthy stuff, but he is able to use his 90-93 mph fastball effectively and mix in a slider, change-up, and curve ball. His excellent mechanics and maturity as a pitcher and person give me bright hopes for him. Could make big moves in 2011.


45
JAMES FULLER
• Highest Level: HiA
• Team: St. Lucie Mets
• B: L | HT: 5-10 | WT: 180
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
SP 23 11-5 2.19 38:124

A stat geeks favorite and a scout’s worst nightmare. Fuller has decent stuff, but his less than ideal pitcher’s build and no plus pitches make scouts wonder if he will ever be able to live at the higher levels and be able to withstand the rigors of a full season. Should make a good future LOOGY.


46
BLAKE FORSYTHE
• Highest Level: SSA
• Team: Brooklyn Cyclones
• B: R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 220
POS AGE AVG HR RBI
C 21 .234 3 8

Highly regarded before the 2010 season until scouts found major holes in his swing. The Mets took him in the 3rd round based off great numbers during his sophomore season where he was very close to Yasmani Grandal for being the best catcher in the class. Early numbers show the holes may be too big to overcome, but the potential of being a power hitting catcher is still there.


47
SCOTT MOVIEL
• Highest Level: HiA
• Team: St. Lucie Mets
• B: R | HT: 6-11 | WT: 235
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
SP 22 3-7 5.56 55:90

Only because of his injury issues and being a ridiculously tall pitcher do I cut him some slack as taller pitches tend to take longer to develop because of the inconsistent mechanics. Another one who needs to take a big leap this year or will find himself on the outside looking in.


48
NICK CARR
• Highest Level: HiA
• Team: St. Lucie Mets
• B: R | HT: 6-1 | WT: 195
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
RP 24 2-2 4.70 23:36

The command issues are a shame because he is such a great arm. It seems like he has been around forever despite the fact he is still 24-years-old, but at this stage in his development I am beginning to wonder if he will ever iron out the control issues.


49
BRETT MITCHELL
• Highest Level: Rk
• Team: Kingsport Mets
• B: R | HT: 6-2 | WT: 190
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
SP 22 2-2 5.94 13:42

A personal favorite from the 2010 draft. I think he is much better than the results show as the numbers are a bit skewed by a rought two start streak. Has good enough stuff to make a little bit of noise. You just never know with the small school pitchers and this one sticks out to me.


50
YANCARLOS JAVIER
• Highest Level: Rk
• Team: DSL Mets2
• B: R | HT: 6-3 | WT: 170
POS AGE W-L ERA K:BB
SP 20 1-1 2.05 15:28

Going completely off the board for Mr. Irrelevant. I would almost never rank a DSL guy, but Javier has a great combination of strikeouts, ground balls, and perfectibility. He could amount to nothing, but something tells me I needed to get his name out there.


For an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page. I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.


31. Francisco Pena | C | LoA | Age – 20 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (C)

Continues to remind me of Bengie Molina except he is not as good or as talented.  So pretty much a very very big body behind the plate.  I am not a big fan of Pena, but he is still young so I guess there is still some hope, but not enough for me.  Strikes out too much, doesn’t walk enough, and doesn’t make enough contact.

Perfect World Projection – MLB Catcher

More Likely Outcome – Career Minor Leaguer

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
Binghamton Mets3924315844.224.258.329.259.105
TOTAL3924315844.224.258.329.259.105


32. Shawn Bowman | 3B | AA | Age – 25 | Drafted – 12th Round 2002 (C)

Former top prospect who has been destroyed by back injuries.  When healthy he has shown good power and defense.  His defense alone could net him a spot on a big league roster one day.

Perfect World Projection – Average MLB 3rd Baseman

More Likely Outcome – Bench player used for defense

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
Binghamton Mets3474224944.294.346.458.388.164
TOTAL3474224944.294.346.458.388.164


33. Darrell  Ceciliani | CF | Rk | Age – 19 | Drafted – 4th Round 2009 (C)

Was compared to a poor man’s Jacoby Ellsbury on draft day and showed way in his brief stint in the minors with 14 stolen bases.  Was unlucky, especially for someone with his speed, so I certainly expect his average to go up.  Also showed pretty good defense with 4 outfield assists.

Perfect World Projection – Starting center field leadoff hitter who creates havoc with his speed

More Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
Kingsport Mets158296213.234.313.310.280.076
TOTAL158296213.234.313.310.280.076


34. Richard Lucas | 3B | LoA | Age – 21 | Drafted – 4th Round 2007 (C)

Big kid with pretty good power started to put it together a little bit last year.  Biggest issue is the strikeout which he count down on a lot last year, but still needs refinement.

Perfect World Projection – Starting 3rd baseman

More Likely Outcome – Organization guy

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
GCL Mets181303.333.400.500.462.167
Kingsport Mets982812421.357.471.622.413.265
Brooklyn Cyclones604506.250.319.400.313.150
TOTAL1763420430.318.414.534.385.216


35. Sean Ratliff | OF | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 4th Round 2008 (C)

He doesn’t have a pretty swing, but I still liked his stroke even with the slight uppercut.  He looks good defensively in right or left field and has a really strong arm which is probably his best asset.  Strikes out way too much and needs to walk more or else he’ll flame out soon.

Perfect World Projection – Borderline starting outfielder

More Likely Outcome – AAAA Slugger

TEAMABR2BHRRBIAVGOBPSLGBABIPISO
Savannah Sand Gnats46864281568.265.312.451.332.186
St. Lucie Mets283206.286.286.357.444.071
TOTAL49667301574.266.314.466.338.179


36. Eddie Kunz | RP | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 1st Round Supp. 2007 (C)

Kunz has fallen out of favor with me and I don’t see too much to like.  His fastball has lost sink, his slider has flattened out, and he is still in awful shape.  He is here on pedigree alone.

Perfect World Projection – Middle relief pitcher

More Likely Outcome – AAA Closer

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Buffalo Bisons4-55.0240/061.0383164%5.53
TOTAL4-55.0240/061.0383164%5.53


37. Nick Santomauro | RF | Rk | Age – 21 | Drafted – 10th Round 2009 (C)

I feel like I am ranking him too low here.  He is a person favorite and sleeper for 2010.  He is super athletic and looked better than his stats say.  He has great power and does a good job walking if he can cut down on the strikeouts he will be golden.

Perfect World Projection – MLB outfielder

More Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
Brooklyn Cyclones145185621.241.368.441.287.200
TOTAL145185621.241.368.441.287.200


38. Nelfi Zapata | C | Rk | Age – 19 | Drafted – 19th Round 2009 (C)

Got off to a hot start and then cooled off a lot.  Has great power that can be seen from his videos in his power showcases.  Looks like a good catching prospect moving forward.

Perfect World Projection – MLB catcher

More Likely Outcome – Power bat off the bench

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
GCL Mets119186113.261.341.370.323.109
TOTAL119186113.261.341.370.323.109


39. Scott Shaw | SP | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 13th Round 2008 (C)

Gets a bit overlooked because of his lack of plus stuff, but is a solid pitching prospect.  He is able to command a complete arsenal of pitches that he can throw for strikes.  Crucial year for Shaw in 2010.

Perfect World Projection – #5 Starter

More Likely Outcome – Relief pitcher or AAA pitcher

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
St. Lucie Mets8-83.7326/26149.21185739%4.06
TOTAL8-83.7326/26149.21185739%4.06


40. James Fuller | SP | Rk | Age – 22 | Drafted – 21st Round 2008 (C)

Undersized lefty who has a good somewhat power arsenal and racks up the K’s and GB’s.  If he is moved back to the pen he can move quickly through the organization and make an impact out of the pen.  Real bulldog on the mound.

Perfect World Projection – LOOGY

More Likely Outcome – LOOGY

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Brooklyn Cyclones3-62.8612/1163671553%2.76
TOTAL3-62.8612/1263671553%2.76

The Mets announced starting pitchers Eric Niesen, Brad Holt, and Jenrry Mejia, catcher Francisco Pena, shortstop Reese Havens, and outfielder Kirk Nieuwenhuis to represent the Mets in the Florida State League All-Star Game. Starting pitchers Brad Holt and Jenrry Mejia were selected, but will not attend because of their promotions to AA Binghamton.

….Reese Havens may also miss the game because of injury, but what I want to know is how can Pena make it over Ike Davis? I really don’t know, but Ike just keep it up….

May
08

Minor League Movements

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The Mets have promoted catching prospect Dock Doyle from extending spring training to the St. Lucie roster where he will be sharing time with Francisco Pena.

Starting pitching prospect Tobi Stoner is joining the Binghamton Mets roster, however, the role he will play with the team is still unknown.

The Mets top pitcing prospect Jenrry Mejia missed his last for the St. Lucie Mets start due to blister issues.

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