Archive for Dillon Gee

Jun
02

MMP Awards for May

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MLB

Hitter of the Month: Jose Reyes

.364/.421/.555 | 9 2B | 6 3B | 18 R | 10 RBI | 11/13 SB | 11:8  BB:K

One of two things is sure with how well Reyes is playing right now. (1) The Mets are going to get a very good package of prospects for him, or at least one much better than the Homer Bailey/Zack Cozart package Buster Olney felt they would get before the seasons, or (2) The amount of money the Mets will have to give Jose is going through the roof. Hopefully it is the later of the two.

Pitcher of the Month: Dillon Gee

3-0 | 3.48 ERA | 33.2 IP | 25  H | 13 R | 13 ER | 13 bb | 27 so

Gee has been a Godsend for this Mets team much like R.A. Dickey was last year. His performances were just terrific this month. He showed he has what it takes to be a major league pitcher in the game against the Cubs when he got rocked early on, but made the necessary adjustments and settled everything down to pick up the seven inning “complete game” victory.

Triple-A

Hitter of the Month: Kirk Nieuwenhuis

.302/.394/.488 | 6 2B | 2 3B | 2 HR | 14 R | 8 RBI | 3/4 SB | 13:29 BB:K

Captain Kirk missed the last week of the month after making one of the best catches you’ll see in the minors this year and was still was by far the best hitter on the Bisons. He could actually have some competition for the month of June with Lucas Duda and Fernando Martinez.

Read More→

(Scott Jontes/MiLB.com)

Today the Mets have announced 21-year-old right-handed pitching prospect Jeurys Familia has been promoted from Hi-A St. Lucie to Double-A Binghamton.

This year Familia has posted a line of:

(1-1, 1.49) – 36.1 IP, 21 H, 7 R, 6 ER, 1 HB, 8 BB, 36 K, 0.80 WHIP

Last year Familia spent all of last year in St. Lucie and struggled with his command going 6-9 with 5.58 ERA.  Despite the overall bad numbers it was a tale of two seasons for Familia who has been lights out ever since last July.  He took a bit off his fastball to get better command and the results have been huge.  He dropped his BB/9 from  5.50 to 1.98 which is not just good, but well above-average, especially for a pitcher his age.  He hasn’t even suffered in the strikeouts still K’ing a batter per inning.

Scouts have said he doesn’t even look like the same pitcher and that is in a good way.

Star-divide

Earlier today the Mets had to place Chris Young on the DL with tightness in his right shoulder.  He had an MRI and it showed some swelling in theback of that shoulder which would explain the tightness.  That is the same shoulder he injured in 2009 and this is already his 2nd stint on the DL this year.  Sandy Alderson has already said Young won’t be back when the 15 days are up.

This is exactly why Young was considered a high risk/high reward player.  When he has pitched he has been phenomenal and the best pitcher on the staff, but that has only been for a very limited number of games and who knows how long this one will keep him out for.

The Mets had to promote Pat Misch to fill the roster spot.

Well Dillon Gee here is your chance, don’t blow it.

Apr
04

Gee Set to Pitch Opening Day

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AAA manager Tim Teuful announced that Dillon Gee will be getting the opening day start.

Last year for Buffalo Gee went 13-8 with a 4.96 ERA in 28 starts.  He did set a Bison’s club record by striking out 165 batters in 161.1 innings.  Gee pitched much better than his ERA indicates posting a 4.07 FIP, nearly a whole run lower.

For the opening day start Gee beat out top prospect Jenrry Mejia, veteran Pat Misch, and Josh Stinson.

The game will take place Thursday April 7th at 3:10 pm against the Syracuse Chiefs.

All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2011 Archive Page.

QUICK PRIMER ON GRADE MEANINGS:

Grade A prospects are the elite. They have a good chance of becoming stars or superstars. Almost all Grade A prospects develop into major league regulars, if injuries or other problems don’t intervene. Note that is a major “if” in some cases.

Grade B prospects have a good chance to enjoy successful careers. Some will develop into stars, some will not. Most end up spending several years in the majors, at the very least in a marginal role.

Grade C prospects are the most common type. These are guys who have something positive going for them, but who may have a question mark or three, or who are just too far away from the majors to get an accurate feel for. A few Grade C guys, especially at the lower levels, do develop into stars. Many end up as role players or bench guys. Some don’t make it at all.
-John Sickels


11. Lucas Duda | OF | AAA | Age – 25 | Drafted – 7th Round 2007 (C+)

Duda burst onto the scene in 2010 with some huge power numbers.  This are the numbers that made him a top prospect out of high school, but he had never put it together in college or in the minors till this point.  His bat looks like it will play anywhere, but it is just a matter of where it will wind up.

Best Case Outcome – All bat slugger
Most Likely Outcome – Platoon hitter

12. Armando Rodriguez | SP | LoA | Age – 23 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)

Possibly the most overlooked prospect in the whole system.  If you look at his numbers there is almost nothing you can complain about.  The only thing holding him back from higher rankings anywhere is an average fastball and fringe average breaking ball.

Best Case Outcome – #3/4 starter
More Likely Outcome – Middle reliever

13. Zach Lutz | 3B | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 5th Round 2007 (C+)

Similar to Reese Havens health has been the only thing holding him back.  He can absolutely mash when he is on the field, but various different injuries have prevented that from happening.  Not a terrible fielder still his bat will always carry him.

Best Case Outcome – Everyday Hitter
Most Likely Outcome – Role Player/Bench Bat

14. Juan Urbina | SP | GCL | Age – 17 | Drafted – IFA 2009 (C+)

I am not as big on Urbina as some other people.  He does have some intriguing upside with a decent fastball and good change up, but I need to see some more positive results before I go any higher. I love the control for a young pitcher.

Best Case Outcome – #2/3 starter
Most Likely Outcome – Too early to tell. Anything from #3/4 starter to career minor leaguer

15. Sean Ratliff | OF | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 4th Round 2008 (C+)

Ratliff had a really big, breakout season in 2010.  His numbers only got better after being moved out of the tough environment in St. Lucie and up to AA. His BABIP was high, but it has been high throughout his whole career.  If he could ever get his strikeouts under control he can become a force.

Best Case Outcome – Starting Outfielder
Most Likely Outcome – Platoon Fielder

16. Darrell Ceciliani | OF | SSA | Age – 20 | Drafted – 4th Round 2009 (C+)

A great fielder and speedster, had a great season swinging the lumber in Brooklyn.  The 12 triples just show you what kind of speed he poses, but he is still a little raw on the basepaths.  Not much to complain about so far.

Best Case Outcome – Good leadoff hitter and fielder
Most Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder

17. Mark Cohoon | SP | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 12th Round 2008 (C+)

Cohoon completely changed my opinion on him as I was a huge hater.  Dominance is an understatement for his efforts in the Sally and after a few terrible starts in AA he really settled down and was great again.  If only he had a big time fastball he would be a huge prospect, but until he makes it in the pros he will always have some doubters.

Best Case Outcome – #3/4 Starter
Most Likely Outcome – #5 Starter/Loogy

18. Albert Cordeo | C | LoA | Age – 21 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C+)

Good athletic defensive catcher who has shown some pop.  Has some high upside if the bat continues to develop along.  I like him a lot.  Huge sleeper potential in 2011.

Best Case Outcome - Starting Catcher
Most Likely Outcome – Bench player

19. Dillon Gee | SP | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 21st Round 2007 (C+)

Pitched much better in AAA than his ERA says.  Great peripherals and an inflated BABIP were his killers.  On the flip side he didn’t pitch nearly as well in NY as his ERA.  Should compete for the 5th starter spot in camp.

Best Case Outcome - #4/5 starter
Most Likely Outcome - #5 starter/middle relief

20. Matt Den Dekker | OF | LoA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 5th Round 2010 (C+)

Had a great start to his career after signing.  Stark splits as he kills righties and didn’t do to well against lefties.  His defensive alone should help him find a way onto a big league roster at some point.

Best Case Outcome – Fringe starter/platoon partner
Most Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder

Trying to come back from an injury plagued season, John Maine finds himself wishing he was back on the DL.  In two early season starts Maine has been smacked around to a tune of a 0-1 record with a 13.50 ERA.  His peripherals do not look any better.  In the 8 innings he has pitched he has given up 15 hits and 4 walks or over 2 base runners per inning.  On top of all that he has already given up 3 homeruns.  Granted he is a flyball pitcher so the homeruns are inevitable, but a 3.38 HR/9 is just insane.  Just about the only positive from his season so far is the 7 K’s.

It is one thing to just look at this stats because one could say you can write them off as it has just been two games and this is too small of a sample size, but the thing is his stuff has looked just as awful if not worse than his stats.  His fastball is down from 92.1 mph, during his last healthy season in 2008, to 89.3 mph this year.  His top mark on the radar gun this season is 91.3 mph, almost one full mph less than his AVERAGE fastball from 2008.  With the fastball losing so much speed and the change-up remaining the same the difference between the two offerings is now only 6 mph opposed to 8-9 making.  The batters are now able to to clobber both pitches now as the difference is so small it isn’t throwing them off balance.  It’s not only his velocity, but take a look at the difference in his horizontal movement from last year to this year.

2009

2010

*note the article mentions 2008, but I had to use a 2009 chart because the ones from 2008 were all messed up

Maine has lost nearly 3 full inches in horizontal movement on his fastball, which is supposed to be his bread and butter pitch.  I am not going to post the graph, but he has also lost almost 2 inches on the vertical movement of his slider.  When you are a fastball/slider pitcher and both pitches are coming in two-three mph slower than in the past, have lost movement, and you can not command them properly you are asking for trouble.

Who could possibly replace him? Our depth sucks!

That is what most Mets fans are saying on the Maine situation.  Sure we should take him out of the rotation, but but put who in for him.  There just so happens to be a 21st round draft pick out of the University of Texas-Arlington who is re-establishing himself also coming off an injury.  Dillon Gee, after pitching in just 9 games last year, is off to a 2-0 start with a 0.00 ERA for AAA Buffalo.  He hasn’t just won the two games, but he has been absolutely dominating.

In his first game back from the injury to start the season he threw 6 innings of 2 hit ball vs. the SWB Yankeess throwing just 77 pitches, walking none, and striking out 4.  He came back again yesterday vs. the Yankees and went 7 strong, giving up 3 hits, 1 walk, and 8 K’s while throwing just 88 pitches.

This isn’t just some 40-year-old Joe Schmo dominating the minors, this is a young kid who was establishing himself as a legitimate prospect before the injury last year.  He pounds the strike zone, misses bats, and knows “how to pitch”.  If John Maine doesn’t step up his game tonight against the Cardinals he could be in some serious trouble as Mets brass was excited about Gee two years ago in spring training.

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For an overview of the process I use to grade players, the factors I use in determining where a player ranks, and other frequently asked questions, please click here. All grades are subject to change.You can find a full listing of the Top 50 Prospects of 2010 Archive Page. I will be releasing the rest of the list soon.


21. Zach Dotson| SP | HS | Age – 19 | Drafted – 13th Round 2009 (C)

Big projecteble lefty prep lefty taken in this year’s draft and one of the few over slot picks by the Mets.  Already has a good enough fastball just needs to refine his change-up.  Very althetic and is my sleeper pick for 2010.

Perfect World Projection – #3 starter

More Likely Outcome – #4/5 starter

NO STATS


22. Dillon Gee  | SP | AAA | Age – 24 | Drafted – 21st Round 2007 (C)

Gee is no fireballer, but he knows how to pitch and get things done with superb command. I thought he had a shot to pitch on the Mets last year and then he got injured and that all went down the drawn.  If he has a successful campaign early in AAA he has a shot to come up later during the year.

Perfect World Projection – #4 starter

More Likely Outcome – #5 starter/Middle relief

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Buffalo Bisons1-34.109/948421641%4.07
TOTAL1-34.109/948421641%4.07

23. Brant Rustich | SP | HiA | Age – 25 | Drafted – 2nd Round 2007 (C)

Huge guy standing 6’6 230 lbs with the stuff to go along with it. His big size and big stuff have provided good results when healthy.  The problem is he is always hurt.  This is going to be a crucial year in his development as a prospect. My advice is move him back to the pen full time.

Perfect World Projection – Top Set-Up man/Closer

More Likely Outcome – Middle relief

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
St. Lucie Mets1-12.4519/348461754%2.44
TOTAL1-12.4519/348461754%2.44


24. Zach Lutz | 3B | HiA | Age – 23 | Drafted – 5th Round 2007 (C)

Just a professional hitter.  He knows what he is doing with a compact swing, but can’t play much defense. Think of him as a Daniel Murphy type of player (although I think he has a better shot to stick at 3rd than Murph).

Perfect World Projection – Solid Regular

More Likely Outcome – Role player/great pinch hitter

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLGBABIPISO
St. Lucie Mets35646191162.284.381.441.330.157
Binghamton Mets290102.207.324.241.273.034
TOTAL38546201164.278.378.426.325.148

25. Aderlin Rodriguez | 3B | GCL | Age – 18 | Drafted – IFA 2008 (C)

The Mets big international free agent signing of 2008.  He has filled out a bit more than other Latin signees at 210 lbs and already has shown good power.  He has been an absolute pitcher in the field, but was also recovering from a broken wrist so we will see if that had anything to do with it next year.

Perfect World Projection – All-Star 3rd baseman

More Likely Outcome – MLB player

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
GCL Mets6253110.290.389.387.370.097
TOTAL6253110.290.389.387.370.097


26. Jordany Valdespin | 2B | LoA | Age – 22 | Drafted – IFA 2007 (C)

All tools right now,  Valdespin has a world of talent but got into some of the field trouble that caused the Mets to suspend him several times and have him seem to “disappear”.  He has good speed and has shown a decent amount of pop.

Perfect World Projection – MLB 2nd baseman

More Likely Outcome – MLB role player

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
DSL Mets150005.333.421.600.357.267
GCL Mets230000.174.208.174.200.000
Brooklyn Cyclones6810315.279.329.397.353.118
Savannah Sand Gnats153309317.320.366.477.390.157
TOTAL2594012427.297.350.436.360.139

27. Tobi Stoner | SP | MLB | Age – 25 | Drafted – 16th round 2006 (C)

Start who gets away with fringe stuff at best.  What he is able to do well is incorporate a 4 pitch arsenal that he can throw for strikes.  If he can refine his curve or slider a little more he has a shot to stick as a starter.

Perfect World Projection – #5 starter innings eater

More Likely Outcome – Middle relief

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Binghamton Mets2-22.687/747281340%4.24
Buffalo Bisons7-73.9616/1697.2643442%4.15
New York Mets0-04.004/095337%5.84
TOTAL9-93.5927/23153.2975040%4.25


28. Robbie Shields | SS | SSA | Age – 22 | Drafted– 2nd round 2009 (C)

Was highly regarded after his sophomore season, but fell down some draft boards after a subpar junior season.  Was terrible in Brooklyn, but he still has good tools and I thought he looked better in Brooklyn then his stats will lead you to believe.  He would rank higher if not for Tommy John surgery which could make the predicted move off of short come sooner rather than later.

Perfect World Projection – MLB starting shortstop

More Likely Outcome – Bench player

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
Brooklyn Cyclones14614419.178.269.267.221.089
TOTAL14614419.178.269.267.221.089


29. Eduardo Aldama | SP | Rk | Age – 20 | Drafted – IFA 2006 (C)

Young Latin player with a live arm was fairly successful in Kingsport.  He strikes out a lot of batters and maintains a nice GB% giving him a great combo of K’s and GBs..  Serious sleeper for 2010.

Perfect World Projection – #3 starter

More Likely Outcome – Middle relief

TEAMW-LERAG/GSIPSOBBGB%FIP
Kingsport Mets5-13.7912/1261.2572355%3.46
Savannah Sand Gnats0-121.001/133255%7.53
TOTAL5-24.6213/1364.2602555%3.56


30. Carlos Guzman | RF | AA | Age – 23 | Drafted – UFA 2006 (C)

Very underrated prospect.  He is a New York boy who went undrafted, but has done nothing but hit since he signed with the Mets.  A big kid with great power numbers for the FSL.  Hopefully he doesn’t go the Brahiam Moldonado route and take five steps back this season.

Perfect World Projection – MLB outfielder

More Likely Outcome – 4th outfielder/AAAA player

TEAMABR2BHRRBI.AVG.OBP.SLG.BABIP.ISO
St. Lucie Mets47259281564.290.346.453.337.163
Binghamton Mets232013.130.200.261.133.131
TOTAL49561281667.283.343.444.329.162

Omar Minaya announced after the game today that catcher Ramon Castro as been traded to the Chicago White Sox for right handed pitcher Lance Broadway.  Broadway, 25, is a former 1st round pick, but doesn’t have overwhelming stuff with his repitoire including a 88-90 mph fastball, mid 70′s curve, and low 80′s change up.

…Broadway is reporting to Triple A Buffalo where he will likely take the place of recently injured Dillon Gee…

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